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Traders watch EU inflation & events in the Ukraine Fri Aug 29 00:00:00 MEST 2014

Market Brief

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
CAD 0.08
GBP 0.05
NZD -0.01
SEK -0.02
AUD -0.03
NOK -0.05
JPY -0.09
CHF -0.1
EUR -0.12
DKK -0.13
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index 15424.59 -0.22
Hang Seng Index 24742.57 0.01
Shanghai Index 2217.2 0.97
FTSE futures 6816 0.16
DAX futures 9489.5 0.38
SMI Futures 8654 0.37
DJIA futures 17099 0.12
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Gold 1288.9 -0.06
Silver 19.52 0.08
VIX 12.05 2.29
Crude wti 94.91 0.38
USD Index 82.57 0.09

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More downside expected for EURUSD 29/8/2014

Market shifted back into risk aversion mode as Asian regional indices fell and USD, Gold gained and VIX rose slightly. US 10year treasury yields eased towards 2.3%. There are reports that indicate Russian troops have crossed the border into Ukraine sovereign territory. US hawks got more good news yesterday as second release for US 2Q GDP yesterday saw an upward revision to 4.2% from 4.0%. Combined with the incoming data H2 economic recovery looks to be strong and weak Q1 read seems to be nothing more than weather driven distortion. With upside surprises in confidence surveys and housing markets accelerations even stalled wage growth look less like to pull-down the economic escape velocity. The market improvement and corresponding Fed policy path seems to be a significant difference then Europe worrying signals. Eurozone this week has produced a string of worrying economic data including services, industrial and economic confidence surveys. In addition escalations in tension between Russia and Ukraine will only further damage growth in Europe. There is a high probably that sanctions on Russia will push Europe into a recession. With further debated on fiscal austerity heating up, against after Draghi seemingly provided a pause toward harsh cuts in Jackson Hole, there is only one situation in Europe that can provide assistance. Today’s soft inflation read should further entrench market expectations that some form of easing measures will be announced by the ECB Read more
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