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Quiet trading before Fed and the Scottish referendum Tue Sep 16 00:00:00 MEST 2014

Market Brief

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
CHF -0.09
EUR -0.11
EUR -0.11
JPY -0.11
CAD -0.14
NOK -0.18
SEK -0.22
NZD -0.24
GBP -0.29
AUD -0.39
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index 15911.53 -0.2305
Hang Seng Index 24207.69 -0.613
Shanghai Index 2309.28 -1.2767
FTSE futures 6805 0.0735
DAX futures 9641 -0.2122
SMI Futures 8795 0.0683
S&P future 1984.3 -0.0252
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Gold 1235.29 0.163
Silver 18.71 0.1472
Crude wti 92.68 -0.2583
VIX 14.12 6.0856
USD Index 84.34 0.0854

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What if the Fed expectations were too hawkish? 16/9/2014

The FX traders are in wait-and-see mood before the most important eco-political events back loaded on the second half of the week. The Fed decision (Wed) and the Scottish referendum (Thu) are the key events that should shape the FX prices in the coming days. Given the decent USD-long positioning in the markets, a balanced Fed tone may trigger a relief rally in the high yielding EM. Released in UK this morning, the August inflation report gathered little traction. GBP-traders stay away from spot trading as Scottish uncertainties persist. Finally, the bearish harami formation on the USD/CAD daily chart signals a short-term opportunity for traders playing it technical before the event/news stream begins. Read more
Time Definition
20:30 API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
22:45 Balance of Payments
22:45 International Investment Position
23:01 Scottish Retail Sales Monitor
00:30 Westpac-Melbourne Institute Indexes of Economic Activity
00:30 Merchandise Trade, incl non-oil domestic exports (NODX)
01:30 International Merchandise Imports
07:00 Trade Balance
07:00 Harmonized CPI
07:00 Bank of Thailand Monetary Policy Committee meeting and decision
08:00 Foreign Trade EU
08:00 Foreign Trade EU
08:00 CPI
08:00 CPI
08:30 UK monthly unemployment figures
08:30 Agents' Summary of Business Conditions
08:30 Bank of England MPC meeting minutes
09:00 Construction output
09:00 RPI
09:00 ZEW - Credit Suisse Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Switzerland
09:00 Harmonised CPI
09:01 CPI
10:00 PPI
11:00 MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey
11:00 Retail Trade Sales
12:00 PPI
12:00 Industrial Production Index
12:30 Real Earnings
12:30 International Transactions
12:30 CPI
14:00 NAHB Housing Market Index
14:30 EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report
18:00 Federal Reserve economic projections
18:00 U.S. interest rate decision, followed by Janet Yellen press briefing
18:00 FOMC Meeting Announcement
18:30 Chairman Press Conference
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