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Quiet trading before Fed and the Scottish referendum Tue Sep 16 00:00:00 MEST 2014

Market Brief

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
CHF -0.09
EUR -0.11
EUR -0.11
JPY -0.11
CAD -0.14
NOK -0.18
SEK -0.22
NZD -0.24
GBP -0.29
AUD -0.39
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index 15911.53 -0.2305
Hang Seng Index 24207.69 -0.613
Shanghai Index 2309.28 -1.2767
FTSE futures 6805 0.0735
DAX futures 9641 -0.2122
SMI Futures 8795 0.0683
S&P future 1984.3 -0.0252
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Gold 1235.29 0.163
Silver 18.71 0.1472
Crude wti 92.68 -0.2583
VIX 14.12 6.0856
USD Index 84.34 0.0854

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What if the Fed expectations were too hawkish? 16/9/2014

The FX traders are in wait-and-see mood before the most important eco-political events back loaded on the second half of the week. The Fed decision (Wed) and the Scottish referendum (Thu) are the key events that should shape the FX prices in the coming days. Given the decent USD-long positioning in the markets, a balanced Fed tone may trigger a relief rally in the high yielding EM. Released in UK this morning, the August inflation report gathered little traction. GBP-traders stay away from spot trading as Scottish uncertainties persist. Finally, the bearish harami formation on the USD/CAD daily chart signals a short-term opportunity for traders playing it technical before the event/news stream begins. Read more
Time Definition
21:00 Industrial Production
21:00 Retail Trade
23:05 Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin
03:00 Non-financial company outstanding debt
07:00 PPI
07:00 New orders in industry
07:00 Import & export price indices
08:30 UK producer prices
08:30 Labour Force
08:30 UK monthly inflation figures
08:30 ONS House Price Index
09:00 CPI
09:00 ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment
09:00 ZEW Survey
09:00 Labour Cost Index
09:00 Labour Cost Index
10:00 GDP - Second Release
11:45 ICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales Index
12:00 Average gross wages
12:30 Manufacturing Sales
12:30 PPI
12:30 Monthly Survey of Manufacturing
12:55 Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index
13:00 Treasury International Capital Data
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