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USD gains as Fed hints at steeper normalization path Thu Sep 18 00:00:00 MEST 2014

Market Brief

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
NOK 0.4
NZD 0.22
EUR 0.14
SEK 0.13
CHF 0.13
DKK 0.13
GBP 0.07
AUD -0.01
CAD -0.01
JPY -0.29
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index 16067.57 1.126
Hang Seng Index 24132.29 -1.0015
Shanghai Index 2310.06 0.0937
FTSE futures 6793 0.0589
DAX futures 9685.5 0.1603
SMI Futures 8836 0.2155
S&P future 2001.5 0.095
Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Gold 1224.08 0.0392
Silver 18.54 0.0135
Crude wti 93.89 -0.5613
VIX 12.65 -0.6284
USD Index 84.59 0.2917

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SNB keeps the negative-rate joker in hand as ECB’s TLTROs miss estimates 18/9/2014

The FX markets are squeezed by busy eco-political calendar. The Fed hints at steeper rate normalization path, yet repeats that the first action will be taken “considerable time” after the end of the APP. In Switzerland, the SNB choses to keep the negative-rate joker in hand; a good decision in our view given the significantly disappointment at the first round of the ECB’s TLTROs. Today, Scotland votes for its independence. The yes-no gap remains tight according to latest polls. The referendum results are due early tomorrow morning. The GBP-complex remains range-bound given the uncertainties. Volatilities are expected to shift higher as the first results start flowing in. Read more
Time Definition
22:45 GDP
23:50 Provisional Trade Statistics for the Month
01:30 RBA Bulletin
01:30 House Price Index
01:30 Foreign Exchange Transactions and Holdings of Official Reserve Assets
06:00 Trade Balance
06:00 Revised Machine Tool Orders
07:00 Industrial Orders & Turnover
07:30 GDP
07:30 Unemployment
07:30 Swiss National Bank monetary policy assessment
07:30 Consumer confidence survey
08:00 Norges Bank monetary policy decision and presentation of Monetary Policy Report
08:00 Wholesale Trade Sales
08:00 Harmonized CPI
08:00 Fipe 4-Week CPI
08:30 UK monthly retail sales figures
08:30 External Merchandise Trade: Volume & Price Statistics
08:30 Underemployment
08:30 Unemployment
08:30 Capital issuance
08:30 CML mortgage lending figures
09:30 Motor Trade Sales
10:00 GDP
10:00 Balance of Payments
10:00 Goods Exports and Imports
10:00 CBI Monthly Industrial Trends Survey
10:00 Malaysia Monetary Policy Committee Meeting & Statement
12:30 Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims
12:30 Employment Insurance
12:30 International transactions in securities
12:30 Travel & Tourism Satellite Account
12:30 New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits
12:30 U.S. Weekly Export Sales
13:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
14:00 DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer
14:00 Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey
14:30 EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
16:00 GDP
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