French Election - 2nd tour
Decrypt impacts' scenarios on financial markets
The main contenders
Previously a business banker and Francois Hollande’s former Minister of the Economy, Industry and Digital Technology. He runs under his own political movement and claims to be neither left nor right. He has supporters from all over the political spectrum. He is a staunch Europeanist.
Marine Le Pen
Daughter of the Front National founder and a lawyer by trade, she touts herself as the candidate for “Frexit” and the reindustrialization of the French economy. She also promises to withdraw the El Khomri law (labour law). She represents the far-right of French politics.
Social Media Opinion Index
Gain a unique insight into potential election outcomes with this innovative technology developed in partnership with the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne.
Positive Opinions vs Negative Opinions
The Social Media Opinion Index captures the opinions expressed on social media about the main candidates to the French presidential election. This social media pulse provides a different analysis which complements traditional polls, and is more reactive that the latter.
It continually scans the web, allowing to detect new trends on social media, which a frequent in this eventful race. The index is built by algorithms based on the latest developments in the fields of text and context analysis. They utilize Natural Language Processing & Understanding (NLP & NLU), chart analysis, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in order to optimize their interpretation of opinions over time.
Learn more here: http://socialmedialab.epfl.ch/
What they are saying…
See the latest comments from the candidates on social media, updated in real time
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Read what the world says
Read the latest articles written about the candidates, as soon as they are published
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Once the final two candidates are known, we will release a purpose-built Forex strategy for each of them, designed to take advantage of their potential victory.
CAC 40 35%
DAX 30 %
Gold & Silver 45%
CAC 40 30%
Macron is fervently pro-Europe and supports stronger European integration. We have selected banks, which would be happy to see Emmanuel Macron take office. We have also gone for national companies and included Canadian stocks, as revenue would rise with the free trade agreement.
Marine Le Pen
Europe is a focus of criticism from Marine Le Pen. We have decided on companies that generate a significant proportion of their revenue outside the European Union. That’s the defensive element in the portfolio. We have also included companies that do most of their business within France and could benefit from protectionist measures.
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